Genoa vs Venezia Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Luigi Ferraris
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.31
Away Win
3.69
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Genoa
Venezia
Mikael Ellertsson (Stephan El Shaarawy) ⚽
25'
Sebastian Otoa 🟨
55'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
7
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
10
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Genoa (3-4-2-1)
J. Bijlow
S. Otoa
L. Østigård
J. Vásquez
M. Ellertsson
H. Traorè
S. Wiafe
M. Mitaj
Junior Messias
S. El Shaarawy
M. Osmajić
Venezia (3-5-2)
F. Stanković
R. Halhal
M. Moreno
Juan Jesus
A. Hainaut
Kike Pérez
S. Sohm
T. Bašić
R. Haps
J. Yeboah
A. Adams
Player Ratings ?
Genoa
M. EllertssonM8.0
J. BijlowG7.8
S. El ShaarawyM7.6
Venezia
M. DagassoM7.2
M. MorenoD7.1
R. HapsM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Genoa edge defence and head-to-head, Venezia edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Venezia slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Venezia stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Venezia arrive at this fixture with a worrying five-match losing streak from their last five away outings, whereas Genoa have secured just two wins and one draw from their own last five home matches. Genoa have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same five outings. Both squads carry significant injury concerns ahead of kickoff, with Genoa facing six confirmed absences while Venezia will be without seven players. Venezia rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Genoa rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Genoa won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Venezia's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Venezia losing run
0
Venezia points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genoa win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.7% → 44.0%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.3%
+0.3 pts
Venezia win
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.8%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genoa
Draw
Venezia
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenoaVenezia

Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
20th
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
0.43
0.71
Goals/Game
0.86
1.86
Conceded/Game
2.29
11.7
Shots/Game
13.7
3.1
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Genoa at home (8 matches) vs Venezia away (6 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.67
1.38
Conceded/Game
2.17
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Genoa
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Venezia
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genoa Wins
3
Draws
1
Venezia Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Genoa2 – 0Venezia
Venezia2 – 0Genoa
Genoa1 – 0Venezia
Venezia1 – 2Genoa
Venezia1 – 1Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genoavs
Venezia

Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 48.1%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.3%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Genoa's 10 matches and 1 of Venezia's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?