Genoa vs Juventus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Luigi Ferraris
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.37
Draw
3.76
Away Win
1.71
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Genoa
Juventus
Kingsley Ehizibue (Tommaso Baldanzi) ⚽
12'
Tommaso Baldanzi ⚽
28'
70'
🟨 Edon Zhegrova
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
14
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
9
5
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Genoa (3-4-2-1)
J. Bijlow
A. Marcandalli
L. Østigård
J. Vásquez
K. Ehizibue
M. Frendrup
Alexsandro Amorim
M. Ellertsson
Vítinha
T. Baldanzi
M. Osmajić
Juventus (3-4-2-1)
G. Vicario
F. Gatti
Bremer
J. Lucumí
P. Kalulu
Douglas Luiz
P. Sarr
A. Cambiaso
W. McKennie
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
R. Kolo Muani
Player Ratings ?
Genoa
T. BaldanziM8.9
K. EhizibueM7.6
J. BijlowG7.4
Juventus
E. ZhegrovaF7.2
BremerD6.9
N. WoltemadeF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Juventus
Juventus rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Juventus an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genoa have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Juventus have recorded two wins in their corresponding away sample. The Rossoneri have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Genoa face significant selection issues with five players unavailable and two doubtful, whereas Juventus have nine absentees with no doubts attached to their squad. Juventus rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Juventus won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 6 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Genoa's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Juventus.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genoa win
Latest market chance 18.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.6% → 18.1%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.7%
+0.2 pts
Juventus win
Latest market chance 56.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
56.8% → 56.2%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genoa
Draw
Juventus
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenoaJuventus
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
8
0.88
Points/Game
1.75
0.75
Goals/Game
1.38
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.7
Shots/Game
16.4
3.1
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Genoa at home (8 matches) vs Juventus away (6 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.33
1.25
Goals/Game
1.33
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genoa
Home form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Juventus
Away form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genoa Wins
0
Draws
1
Juventus Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.4
Juventus2 – 0Genoa
Genoa0 – 1Juventus
Juventus1 – 0Genoa
Genoa0 – 3Juventus
Juventus0 – 0Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genoavs
Juventus
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.5%→Latest 45.2%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.3%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Juventus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?