Fiorentina vs Juventus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.49
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.15
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Fiorentina
Juventus
Mateo Pellegrino (Pedro Goncalves) ⚽
4'
13'
🟨 Juan Cabal
22'
🟨 Gleison Bremer
32'
⚽ Nick Woltemade (Randal Kolo Muani)
Christ Inao Oulaï 🟨
50'
Alieu Njie ⚽
54'
66'
⚽ Gleison Bremer (Douglas Luiz Soares)
73'
🟨 Randal Kolo Muani
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
22
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
12
16
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1)
David de Gea
Álex Jiménez
R. Drăgușin
Viery
João Mário
C. Ndour
C. Inao Oulaï
Franco Mastantuono
Pote
A. Njie
Mateo Pellegrino
Juventus (4-4-2)
G. Vicario
P. Kalulu
Bremer
J. Lucumí
J. Cabal
W. McKennie
T. Koopmeiners
Douglas Luiz
J. Boga
R. Kolo Muani
N. Woltemade
Player Ratings ?
Fiorentina
Mateo PellegrinoF8.2
PoteM7.7
A. NjieM6.9
Juventus
N. WoltemadeF8.2
Douglas LuizM7.5
R. Kolo MuaniF7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fiorentina edge attack and head-to-head, Juventus edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fiorentina slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fiorentina stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Juventus have secured two wins from their last five away fixtures, while Fiorentina have managed just a single draw in three defeats over their last five home outings. Fiorentina have scored in four of their last five home matches, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. There is one player unavailable for Fiorentina ahead of the match. Juventus rate stronger on form and defence, while Fiorentina rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Fiorentina won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Juventus's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Fiorentina's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Juventus's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fiorentina losing run
2
Fiorentina points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Juventus
Juventus's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Juventus win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fiorentina win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
25.3% → 28.4%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.9% → 27.0%
+1.1 pts
Juventus win
Latest market chance 44.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.8% → 44.7%
−4.1 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FiorentinaJuventus
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
1.70
1.50
Goals/Game
1.30
2.30
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.9
Shots/Game
16.4
5.1
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Fiorentina at home (6 matches) vs Juventus away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.33
1.17
Goals/Game
1.33
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fiorentina
Home form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Juventus
Away form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fiorentina Wins
2
Draws
2
Juventus Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Juventus0 – 2Fiorentina
Fiorentina1 – 1Juventus
Fiorentina3 – 0Juventus
Juventus2 – 2Fiorentina
Juventus1 – 0Fiorentina
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fiorentinavs
Juventus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.00
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 53.0%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 57.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?