Fiorentina vs Como Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.47
Draw
3.64
Away Win
2.12
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Fiorentina
Como
28'
🟨 Álex Valle
32'
⚽ Mattia Liberali (Maxence Caqueret)
36'
⚽ Nico Paz (Álex Valle)
39'
🟨 Nico Paz
Marin Pongračić ⚽
42'
45+3'
🟨 Jacobo Ramón
56'
⚽ Anastasios Douvikas (Nico Paz)
Cher Ndour 🟨
68'
Franco Mastantuono 🟨
73'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
19
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Goal
8
11
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1)
David de Gea
Álex Jiménez
R. Drăgușin
M. Pongračić
Viery
C. Ndour
N. Fagioli
Franco Mastantuono
Pote
A. Njie
Mateo Pellegrino
Como (4-2-3-1)
J. Butez
I. Smolčić
T. Chalobah
M. Kempf
Álex Valle
Luis Milla
L. da Cunha
M. Liberali
N. Paz
M. Caqueret
T. Douvikas
Player Ratings ?
Fiorentina
M. PongračićD7.2
N. FagioliM6.7
David de GeaG6.7
Como
N. PazM8.8
T. DouvikasF7.8
M. CaqueretM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Fiorentina edge head-to-head, giving Como a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fiorentina slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Como have shown resilience away from home with three wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Fiorentina remain winless at this venue with just three draws and two losses across the same period. Fiorentina have scored in three of their last five outings at home but have only managed a single clean sheet during that span. The Viola face significant selection issues with four players out and two others doubtful, whereas Como have just two absentees without any doubts surrounding their squad. Como rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Fiorentina hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Fiorentina won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Como's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 14-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Como a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fiorentina losing run
3
Fiorentina points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fiorentina win
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 27.8%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 25.9%
±0.0 pts
Como win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.1% → 46.3%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fiorentina
Draw
Como
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FiorentinaComo

Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.83
1.17
Goals/Game
1.50
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.9
Shots/Game
18.9
5.1
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Fiorentina at home (6 matches) vs Como away (7 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.86
1.17
Goals/Game
1.86
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.29
0%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Fiorentina
Home form
D
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Como
Away form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fiorentina Wins
3
Draws
0
Como Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Como1 – 2Fiorentina
Fiorentina1 – 2Como
Fiorentina0 – 2Como
Como0 – 2Fiorentina
Como0 – 2Fiorentina
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fiorentinavs
Como

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 59.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Fiorentina's 10 matches and 4 of Como's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?