Como vs Sassuolo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.50
Draw
4.80
Away Win
6.15
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Como
Sassuolo
Anastasios Douvikas (Maxence Caqueret) ⚽
49'
Anastasios Douvikas (Kaiki Bruno) ⚽
60'
63'
🟨 Domenico Berardi
Yan Couto 🟨
65'
87'
🟨 Ignace Van der Brempt
Luis Milla 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
0
6
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1)
J. Butez
Yan Couto
Willy Kambwala Ndengushi
M. Kempf
Kaiki
S. Ricci
M. Perrone
M. Caqueret
L. da Cunha
M. Baturina
T. Douvikas
Sassuolo (4-2-3-1)
S. Turati
I. Van der Brempt
D. Ćaleta-Car
Fali Candé
Rafael Obrador
Vasilije Adžić
N. Matić
D. Berardi
D. Bakola
B. Domínguez
K. Bowie
Player Ratings ?
Como
T. DouvikasF9.0
KaikiD7.8
M. CaqueretM7.7
Sassuolo
D. Ćaleta-CarD6.8
S. TuratiG6.8
Fali CandéD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Sassuolo edge head-to-head, giving Como an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sassuolo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Como have secured two wins from their last five home outings, while Sassuolo have managed just a single draw in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in three of their last five matches at this venue and have kept three clean sheets in the same period. Como face five confirmed absences, whereas Sassuolo must manage without twenty players for their upcoming fixture. Como rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Sassuolo hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Sassuolo won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Como's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Como's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Sassuolo's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Como.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Como
Como's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Como win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Como win
Latest market chance 64.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
66.4% → 64.4%
−2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.2% → 20.1%
−0.1 pts
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 15.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
13.4% → 15.4%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Como
Draw
Sassuolo
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ComoSassuolo
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
1.14
1.71
Goals/Game
1.71
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
18.9
Shots/Game
12.6
5.8
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Como at home (4 matches) vs Sassuolo away (7 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
0.14
1.25
Goals/Game
1.14
0.25
Conceded/Game
2.71
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Como
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sassuolo
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Como Wins
1
Draws
0
Sassuolo Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Sassuolo2 – 1Como
Como2 – 0Sassuolo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Comovs
Sassuolo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 65.6%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 59.6%+4.9 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Como's 10 matches and 2 of Sassuolo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?