Como vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.57
Draw
3.50
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Como
Roma
Assane Diao Diaoune 🟨
45+2'
46'
🟨 Marten de Roon
53'
🟥 Donyell Malen
57'
🟨 Manu Koné
62'
🟨 Matias Soule
Martin Baturina 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
19
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1)
J. Butez
Yan Couto
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
T. Chalobah
Kaiki
M. Perrone
L. da Cunha
Assane Diao
N. Paz
M. Caqueret
T. Douvikas
Roma (3-4-2-1)
P. Gollini
G. Mancini
E. Ndicka
Hermoso
N. Molina
M. de Roon
M. Koné
Wesley
P. Dybala
L. Pellegrini
D. Malen
Player Ratings ?
Como
Jacobo Ramón NaverosD7.4
T. ChalobahD7.2
KaikiD7.1
Roma
P. GolliniG7.7
HermosoD7.1
E. NdickaD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Como edge head-to-head, Roma edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Como slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Roma arrive at Como boasting a perfect away record in their last five matches, while the visitors have secured three victories and one draw from their home outings during the same period. Como have found the net in four of their last five home games but have also kept three clean sheets in that identical sample, suggesting a mixed approach to attack and defence at this venue. The hosts face one confirmed absence ahead of kickoff, whereas Roma must manage six different players who are unavailable for selection against the visitors. Roma rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Como hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Como won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Roma's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 14-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Roma unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Roma points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Como win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.3% → 37.7%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.1%
+0.2 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.8% → 35.2%
−0.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
15 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 27Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Como
Draw
Roma
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Como
Roma
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
2nd
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
2.60
1.80
Goals/Game
2.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
18.9
Shots/Game
19.4
5.8
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Como at home (4 matches) vs Roma away (5 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
2.20
1.25
Goals/Game
2.80
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
75%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Como
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Como Wins
3
Draws
0
Roma Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-03-152025-2026
Como2 – 1Roma
2025-12-152025-2026
Roma1 – 0Como
2025-03-022024-2025
Roma2 – 1Como
2024-12-152024-2025
Como2 – 0Roma
2003-01-252002-2003
Como2 – 0Roma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Como
vs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.70
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 58.6%+6.5 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 17Sep 23Sep 29Oct 5Oct 11
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 24 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 62.5%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 17Sep 23Sep 29Oct 5Oct 11
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 24 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Como's 10 matches and 5 of Roma's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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