Como vs Cagliari Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.33
Draw
5.43
Away Win
8.45
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Como an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Como stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Como win
Latest market chance 70.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
70.4% → 70.2%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.3% → 18.5%
+0.2 pts
Cagliari win
Latest market chance 11.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
11.2% → 11.3%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Como
Draw
Cagliari
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ComoCagliari
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
9th
11
Games Played
11
2.09
Points/Game
1.45
1.64
Goals/Game
0.91
0.91
Conceded/Game
1.36
18.9
Shots/Game
10.9
5.8
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Como at home (4 matches) vs Cagliari away (7 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.29
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
0.25
Conceded/Game
2.14
75%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Como
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cagliari
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Como Wins
2
Draws
2
Cagliari Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Cagliari1 – 2Como
Como0 – 0Cagliari
Como3 – 1Cagliari
Cagliari1 – 1Como
Cagliari2 – 0Como
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Comovs
Cagliari
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.9%→Latest 60.3%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 50.5%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?