Cagliari vs Frosinone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Unipol Domus
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.78
Draw
3.86
Away Win
2.43
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Cagliari
Frosinone
13'
🟨 Gabriele Bracaglia
Michel Adopo (Paul Mendy) ⚽
38'
60'
🟨 Anthony Oyono
Jacopo Fazzini 🟨
69'
Nicola Grandu 🟨
70'
85'
🟨 Ilario Monterisi
Zé Pedro 🟨
87'
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
14
Total Shots
29
4
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
13
14
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
9
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Cagliari (4-3-3)
E. Caprile
Zé Pedro
R. Kofler
J. Rodríguez
N. Grandu
M. Adopo
A. Romano
A. Deiola
Y. Trepy
P. Mendy
D. Maldini
Frosinone (4-2-3-1)
L. Palmisani
A. Oyono
G. Calvani
I. Monterisi
G. Bracaglia
Matteo Cichella
G. Calò
F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze
D. Bîrligea
Player Ratings ?
Cagliari
E. CaprileG9.3
M. AdopoM7.8
P. MendyF7.7
Frosinone
F. GhedjemisM7.2
G. CalòM7.2
G. CalvaniD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Frosinone
Frosinone rate stronger in recent form and attack; defence and head-to-head are closely matched, giving Frosinone a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cagliari have secured two victories from their last five home outings across multiple seasons, while Frosinone have managed just a solitary win in their last five away fixtures during this current campaign. The Sardinians have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet from that same sample, suggesting a defensive vulnerability alongside their offensive output. Squad availability looks relatively stable for both sides ahead of kick-off, with Cagliari having three players unavailable and Frosinone carrying just one absence in their respective line-ups. Frosinone rate stronger on form and attack, while Cagliari hold a slight advantage in defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Frosinone won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 21 January 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Cagliari's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cagliari win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.6% → 35.0%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 26.0%
+0.1 pts
Frosinone win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.5% → 39.0%
−0.5 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CagliariFrosinone

Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
6th
10
Games Played
10
1.30
Points/Game
2.00
0.90
Goals/Game
2.40
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.40
10.9
Shots/Game
20.1
4.0
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away Context
Cagliari at home (5 matches) vs Frosinone away (6 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.83
0.60
Goals/Game
1.33
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.00
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Cagliari
Home form
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Frosinone
Away form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cagliari Wins
2
Draws
2
Frosinone Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Frosinone3 – 1Cagliari
Cagliari4 – 3Frosinone
Cagliari0 – 0Frosinone
Frosinone2 – 2Cagliari
Cagliari1 – 0Frosinone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cagliarivs
Frosinone

Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 63.0%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.6%→Latest 65.6%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?