Bologna vs Inter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.29
Draw
4.15
Away Win
1.57
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Bologna
Inter
Tommaso Pobega (Juan Miranda) ⚽
10'
Arthur Theate 🟨
34'
35'
🟨 Pio Esposito
44'
⚽ Marcus Thuram (Nicolò Barella)
Tommaso Pobega 🟨
57'
61'
🟨 Marcus Thuram
69'
⚽ Carlos Augusto (Piotr Zieliński)
Juan Miranda 🟨
71'
Federico Bernardeschi 🟨
72'
79'
🟨 Carlos Augusto
83'
⚽ Ange-Yoan Bonny (Carlos Augusto)
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
11
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Bologna (3-4-2-1)
Ł. Skorupski
M. Darmian
N. Casale
A. Theate
N. Zortea
L. Ferguson
T. Pobega
Juan Miranda
F. Bernardeschi
N. Cambiaghi
R. Piccoli
Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martínez
Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
A. Bastoni
Luis Henrique
N. Barella
P. Zieliński
P. Sučić
F. Dimarco
M. Thuram
F. Esposito
Player Ratings ?
Bologna
T. PobegaM7.7
Ł. SkorupskiG6.7
L. FergusonM6.5
Inter
P. ZielińskiM7.7
N. BarellaM7.7
M. ThuramF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inter
Inter rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Inter a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter have secured two wins from their last five away fixtures without a single defeat, whereas Bologna have drawn four of their most recent five home matches with just one loss. At the San Miro, Bologna have found the net in three of their last five outings but have kept a clean sheet in only one of that same sample. Bologna face two confirmed absences for their home side, while Inter must manage the impact of four players unavailable for selection. Inter rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Bologna's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Inter's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Inter a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Inter
Inter's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inter win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bologna win
Latest market chance 16.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
17.8% → 16.4%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.4%
−0.5 pts
Inter win
Latest market chance 60.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.3% → 60.2%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bologna
Draw
Inter
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BolognaInter
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
1st
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
2.67
0.83
Goals/Game
3.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.33
13.6
Shots/Game
21.3
4.5
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Bologna at home (6 matches) vs Inter away (6 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
2.17
1.17
Goals/Game
2.00
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
17%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bologna
Home form
D
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inter
Away form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bologna Wins
1
Draws
2
Inter Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Bologna3 – 3Inter
Inter3 – 1Bologna
Bologna1 – 0Inter
Inter2 – 2Bologna
Bologna0 – 1Inter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bolognavs
Inter
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 56.9%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 54.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Bologna's 10 matches and 3 of Inter's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?