Atalanta vs Inter Head to Head, Prediction
New Balance Arena
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.75
Draw
4.48
Away Win
1.62
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inter
Inter rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Inter an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Atalanta win
Latest market chance 20.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 20.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.6%
±0.0 pts
Inter win
Latest market chance 57.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.8% → 57.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Atalanta
Draw
Inter
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AtalantaInter
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
2nd
11
Games Played
11
1.27
Points/Game
2.55
1.55
Goals/Game
2.55
1.82
Conceded/Game
1.18
14.4
Shots/Game
21.3
5.4
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Atalanta at home (7 matches) vs Inter away (6 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
2.17
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.17
57%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Atalanta
Home form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inter
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Atalanta Wins
0
Draws
1
Inter Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.6
Inter1 – 1Atalanta
Atalanta0 – 1Inter
Atalanta0 – 2Inter
Inter4 – 0Atalanta
Inter4 – 0Atalanta
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Atalantavs
Inter
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.4%→Latest 67.5%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.6%→Latest 64.6%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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