St Mirren vs Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The SMiSA Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.70
Draw
5.19
Away Win
1.39
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
St Mirren
Rangers
Calvin Ramsay 🟨
3'
18'
⚽ (P) Ryan Naderi
Fraser Taylor 🟨
23'
56'
🟨 Min-su Kim
60'
🟨 Nicolas Raskin
61'
⚽ Dan Neil
Liam Donnelly 🟨
69'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
7
7
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
22
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
St Mirren (3-4-3)
J. Chapman
M. Fraser
A. Gogić
Louis Jackson
C. Ramsay
K. Phillips
F. Taylor
D. John
Samu
J. Young
Ismeal Kabia
Rangers (4-4-2)
I. Pandur
D. Sterling
O. Makhanya
E. Fernandez
J. Penrice
B. Bouanani
D. Neil
N. Raskin
Minsu Kim
R. Naderi
K. Kelsy
Player Ratings ?
St Mirren
Louis JacksonD6.9
D. JohnM6.7
J. ChapmanG6.6
Rangers
D. NeilM8.0
O. MakhanyaD7.3
N. RaskinM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Rangers
Rangers rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Rangers a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rangers have enjoyed a solid away run with three victories and two draws from their last five outings, whereas St Mirren have managed just one win alongside two draws and two defeats in the same number of home fixtures. At home, St Mirren have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample period. Rangers rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Rangers won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to St Mirren's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, St Mirren's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points, while Rangers's implied win probability has fallen by 5.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Rangers a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Rangers unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
53%
St Mirren yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Rangers
Rangers's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rangers win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 14.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
10.9% → 14.2%
+3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
17.1% → 19.5%
+2.4 pts
Rangers win
Latest market chance 66.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
72.0% → 66.3%
−5.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Mirren
Draw
Rangers
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St MirrenRangers
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
2nd
12
Games Played
11
1.17
Points/Game
2.18
1.00
Goals/Game
1.73
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.82
12.1
Shots/Game
19.2
3.7
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away Context
St Mirren at home (7 matches) vs Rangers away (7 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
2.14
1.14
Goals/Game
1.57
1.71
Conceded/Game
0.86
29%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Mirren
Home form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rangers
Away form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Mirren Wins
0
Draws
2
Rangers Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Rangers1 – 0St Mirren
St Mirren0 – 1Rangers
Rangers2 – 1St Mirren
St Mirren1 – 1Rangers
St Mirren2 – 2Rangers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Mirrenvs
Rangers
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.6%→Latest 60.7%−2.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 54.2%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?