St Mirren vs Hibernian Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The SMiSA Stadium
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.37
Draw
3.78
Away Win
2.09
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
St Mirren
Hibernian
Chris Mochrie 🟨
37'
39'
🟨 Josh Mulligan
Alexander Gogić 🟨
66'
78'
⚽ Marko Ivezic (Owen Elding)
Jason Kerr ⚽ (OG)
83'
Fraser Taylor 🟨
89'
Paul Nsio 🟨
90+2'
90+2'
🟨 Azeem Abdulai
Killian Phillips 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
14
5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
St Mirren (3-4-3)
J. Chapman
M. Fraser
A. Gogić
Henry Fieldson
C. Ramsay
R. Carr
K. Phillips
D. John
L. Thomas
Eseosa Sule
C. Mochrie
Hibernian (4-2-3-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
M. Ivezić
A. Mayor
M. Chaiwa
J. Newell
J. McGrath
J. Mulligan
N. Cadden
O. Elding
Player Ratings ?
St Mirren
J. YoungF7.2
K. PhillipsM7.0
A. GogićD6.8
Hibernian
M. IvezićD7.5
O. EldingF7.0
N. CaddenM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Mirren edge recent form, Hibernian edge defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hibernian have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while St Mirren sit on two victories and a draw in that same run at home. St Mirren have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that span. St Mirren rate stronger on form, while Hibernian rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Hibernian won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to St Mirren's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, St Mirren's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Hibernian's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St Mirren losing run
50%
St Mirren yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Hibernian
Hibernian's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hibernian win as less likely than it did 10 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 28.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 28.0%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 26.0%
+0.3 pts
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.3% → 46.0%
−1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Mirren
Draw
Hibernian
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St MirrenHibernian
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
12th
10
Games Played
10
1.30
Points/Game
0.70
1.10
Goals/Game
1.00
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
12.1
Shots/Game
15.9
3.7
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
St Mirren at home (7 matches) vs Hibernian away (6 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
1.67
1.14
Goals/Game
1.67
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.00
29%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Mirren
Home form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hibernian
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Mirren Wins
0
Draws
3
Hibernian Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Hibernian2 – 0St Mirren
St Mirren0 – 3Hibernian
Hibernian1 – 1St Mirren
St Mirren2 – 2Hibernian
St Mirren0 – 0Hibernian
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Mirrenvs
Hibernian
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 57.7%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 59.6%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?