St Johnstone vs Motherwell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
McDiarmid Park
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.47
Away Win
2.83
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
St Johnstone
Motherwell
Taylor Steven ⚽
19'
34'
⚽ Ibrahim Said (Emmanuel Longelo)
Enes Alic 🟨
51'
51'
🟨 Ibrahim Said
54'
⚽ Tawanda Maswanhise (Jake Max Girdwood-Reich)
71'
🟨 Tom Sparrow
Josh Campbell (Logan Chalmers) ⚽
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
9
2
Corner Kicks
8
9
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
St Johnstone (4-2-3-1)
T. Steward
M. Todd
D. Finlayson
C. Diabate
E. Alıç
R. McAlear
J. Holt
T. Steven
R. Paton
J. Gullan
J. Fowler
Motherwell (4-2-3-1)
A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel
J. McGhee
D. Levitt
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
I. Said
J. Hodge
S. Palmer-Houlden
Player Ratings ?
St Johnstone
T. StevenM8.0
T. StewardG7.7
J. CampbellM7.7
Motherwell
Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM7.8
J. HodgeM7.2
I. SaidM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Johnstone edge recent form and defence, Motherwell edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Johnstone stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Motherwell slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Johnstone stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Motherwell stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Motherwell have recorded just a solitary victory and a draw in their last five away outings, whereas St Johnstone have secured two wins from five at home during the same period. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same run. St Johnstone rate stronger on form and defence, while Motherwell rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Motherwell won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 26 April 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to St Johnstone's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, St Johnstone's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points, while Motherwell's implied win probability has risen by 3.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from St Johnstone
St Johnstone's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Johnstone win as less likely than it did 10 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
41.9% → 37.7%
−4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.5%
+0.3 pts
Motherwell win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
30.9% → 34.8%
+3.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Motherwell
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneMotherwell
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
10
1.20
Points/Game
0.80
1.10
Goals/Game
1.10
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
10.5
Shots/Game
14.5
3.4
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (7 matches) vs Motherwell away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.86
1.71
Goals/Game
1.57
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.86
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
W
W
L
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Motherwell
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
2
Draws
0
Motherwell Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Motherwell3 – 2St Johnstone
St Johnstone2 – 1Motherwell
Motherwell2 – 1St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 2Motherwell
Motherwell1 – 2St Johnstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Motherwell
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.1%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 57.1%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?