St Johnstone vs Dundee Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
McDiarmid Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.59
Away Win
2.77
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
St Johnstone
Dundee
Josh Campbell (Enes Alic) ⚽
5'
47'
⚽ Joe Westley
Taylor Steven 🟨
56'
60'
🟨 Drey Wright
69'
🟨 Ethan Hamilton
Kai Fotheringham ⚽
72'
88'
🟨 Brad Halliday
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
St Johnstone (3-4-3)
R. Sinclair
C. Diabate
B. Mikulić
E. Alıç
L. Smith
J. Campbell
J. Holt
J. Cotterill
T. Steven
D. Schmidt
K. Fotheringham
Dundee (4-4-2)
O. Goodman
D. Wright
R. Astley
O. Bevan
I. Samuels
J. Bevan
C. Jones
E. Hamilton
A. Forrest
A. Hay
B. Fink
Player Ratings ?
St Johnstone
J. CampbellM8.2
K. FotheringhamF8.2
E. AlıçD7.5
Dundee
J. WestleyF7.9
O. BevanD6.9
R. AstleyD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dundee edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee have recorded two wins from their last five away fixtures, while St Johnstone have secured just a single victory in five home outings during the same period. St Johnstone have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that identical run. Dundee rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 2 September 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, St Johnstone's implied win probability has fallen by 12.5 percentage points, while Dundee's implied win probability has risen by 11.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from St Johnstone
St Johnstone's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Johnstone win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 38.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
51.4% → 38.9%
−12.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.5% → 26.5%
+1.0 pts
Dundee win
Latest market chance 34.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.1% → 34.6%
+11.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Dundee
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneDundee
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
12
Games Played
11
1.17
Points/Game
1.55
1.25
Goals/Game
1.55
1.58
Conceded/Game
1.18
10.5
Shots/Game
12.6
3.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (7 matches) vs Dundee away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.71
Goals/Game
1.17
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.33
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
1
Draws
2
Dundee Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Dundee1 – 1St Johnstone
St Johnstone0 – 2Dundee
Dundee1 – 1St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 3Dundee
Dundee1 – 2St Johnstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Dundee
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 58.2%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?