St Johnstone vs Dundee United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
McDiarmid Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.71
Draw
3.59
Away Win
2.56
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
St Johnstone
Dundee United
Josh Fowler (Enes Alic) ⚽
21'
42'
🟨 Dylan Tait
66'
🟨 Lyall Cameron
79'
⚽ Lyall Cameron (Jesse Randall)
Reece McAlear 🟨
84'
90'
🟨 Zidane Iqbal
90'
🟨 Neil Farrugia
Jason Holt 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
St Johnstone (4-2-3-1)
T. Steward
L. Smith
D. Finlayson
C. Diabate
E. Alıç
R. McAlear
J. Holt
S. Stanton
J. Cotterill
T. Steven
J. Fowler
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
D. Tait
L. Cameron
Zidane Iqbal
J. Randall
I. Metsoko
D. Bennie
Player Ratings ?
St Johnstone
J. FowlerF7.7
T. StewardG7.5
E. AlıçD7.3
Dundee United
L. CameronM8.2
J. RandallF7.2
Abdoulaye YoroM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dundee United edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee United have recorded two wins and one draw from their last five away fixtures, while St Johnstone mirror that tally with two victories and a single draw in their corresponding home outings. At home, the hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Dundee United rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Dundee United won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 12 April 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to St Johnstone's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, St Johnstone's implied win probability has fallen by 4.8 percentage points, while Dundee United's implied win probability has risen by 4.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from St Johnstone
St Johnstone's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Johnstone win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. Dundee United remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
40.5% → 35.7%
−4.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.2%
+0.3 pts
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.7% → 37.1%
+4.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Dundee United
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneDundee United
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
6th
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
1.38
1.25
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.38
10.5
Shots/Game
15.9
3.4
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (7 matches) vs Dundee United away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.33
1.71
Goals/Game
1.67
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.67
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee United
Away form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
2
Draws
0
Dundee United Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Dundee United1 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 2Dundee United
Dundee United2 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 2St Johnstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Dundee United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 53.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of St Johnstone's 10 matches and 2 of Dundee United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?