Rangers vs Kilmarnock Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ibrox Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.15
Draw
8.63
Away Win
14.63
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Ryan Naderi (James Penrice) ⚽
15'
Kevin Kelsy ⚽
24'
Ryan Naderi (Djeidi Gassama) ⚽
44'
49'
🟨 Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Kosta Nedeljkovic 🟨
64'
90'
⚽ Nicky Clescenco (Joe Hugill)
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Rangers (4-2-3-1)
I. Pandur
D. Sterling
E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya
J. Penrice
D. Neil
N. Raskin
Minsu Kim
R. Naderi
D. Gassama
K. Kelsy
Kilmarnock (4-2-3-1)
C. Ferrie
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
C. McCarthy
G. Stanger
M. Schjønning-Larsen
A. Tshibola
T. Lowery
E. Ring
T. John-Jules
G. Kiltie
J. Hugill
Player Ratings ?
Rangers
R. NaderiM8.7
I. PandurG7.8
D. GassamaM7.7
Kilmarnock
N. CleșcencoF7.3
J. HugillF7.2
C. McCarthyD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Rangers
Rangers rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Rangers an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kilmarnock have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Rangers have suffered three defeats in that same span at home. Rangers have found the net in all five of their recent home matches yet have kept just two clean sheets during that period. Rangers rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Rangers won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 4 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Kilmarnock's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Rangers's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points, while Kilmarnock's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Rangers.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Rangers
Rangers's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Rangers win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rangers win
Latest market chance 81.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
78.3% → 81.8%
+3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 12.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
14.4% → 12.0%
−2.4 pts
Kilmarnock win
Latest market chance 6.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
7.3% → 6.2%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rangers
Draw
Kilmarnock
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RangersKilmarnock
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
0.71
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
0.57
Conceded/Game
2.14
19.2
Shots/Game
11.7
6.8
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Rangers at home (5 matches) vs Kilmarnock away (8 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
0.75
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.88
80%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rangers
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kilmarnock
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rangers Wins
5
Draws
0
Kilmarnock Wins
0
Avg Goals
5.0
Rangers5 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock0 – 3Rangers
Rangers3 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock2 – 4Rangers
Rangers6 – 0Kilmarnock
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rangersvs
Kilmarnock
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 70.4%+4.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 47.8%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Rangers's 10 matches and 3 of Kilmarnock's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?