Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Head to Head, Prediction
Rugby Park
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.13
Draw
3.68
Away Win
2.09
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kilmarnock edge recent form, Aberdeen edge head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kilmarnock slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aberdeen stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kilmarnock win
Latest market chance 29.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 29.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.4%
±0.0 pts
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 44.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.9% → 44.9%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kilmarnock
Draw
Aberdeen
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KilmarnockAberdeen
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
11th
13
Games Played
12
0.69
Points/Game
0.92
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.23
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.7
Shots/Game
13.2
3.9
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Kilmarnock at home (6 matches) vs Aberdeen away (5 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
0.80
1.17
Goals/Game
1.40
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
17%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kilmarnock
Home form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aberdeen
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kilmarnock Wins
1
Draws
1
Aberdeen Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.6
Aberdeen0 – 0Kilmarnock
Aberdeen1 – 0Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock3 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen2 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock0 – 1Aberdeen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kilmarnockvs
Aberdeen
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 58.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?