Hibernian vs Falkirk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Easter Road
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
3.99
Away Win
4.91
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Hibernian
Falkirk
Owen Elding 🟨
6'
13'
⚽ Jacob Murrell (Ryan Strain)
25'
🟨 Ben krauhaus
37'
⚽ Jacob Murrell (Ethan Ross)
Owen Elding (Felix Passlack) ⚽
41'
61'
🟨 Ryan Strain
79'
🟨 Finley Frank Barbrook
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
17
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
3
5
Fouls
20
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Hibernian (4-2-3-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
M. Ivezić
A. Mayor
J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa
M. Boyle
A. Abdulai
T. Klidje
O. Elding
Falkirk (4-2-3-1)
S. Bain
R. Strain
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
S. Tanser
B. Spencer
Finley Frank Barbrook
E. Ross
B. Krauhaus
Owen Eames
J. Murrell
Player Ratings ?
Hibernian
O. EldingF7.4
F. PasslackD7.0
A. MayorD6.7
Falkirk
J. MurrellF8.9
E. RossM7.1
L. NeilsonD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hibernian edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Falkirk have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Hibernian have suffered four losses with just one draw during their corresponding home sample. Hibernian have scored in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same recent run. Hibernian rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Hibernian won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 9 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Falkirk's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Hibernian's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Falkirk's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Hibernian losing run
1
Hibernian points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hibernian
Hibernian's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hibernian win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 55.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
54.5% → 55.9%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 24.2%
−0.2 pts
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 19.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.1% → 19.9%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hibernian
Draw
Falkirk
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HibernianFalkirk
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
8
0.88
Points/Game
0.75
1.00
Goals/Game
0.88
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.38
15.9
Shots/Game
11.7
3.9
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Hibernian at home (7 matches) vs Falkirk away (7 matches)
0.14
Points/Game
1.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.57
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hibernian
Home form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Falkirk
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hibernian Wins
3
Draws
1
Falkirk Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
Falkirk1 – 3Hibernian
Falkirk4 – 1Hibernian
Hibernian3 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 2Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 1Falkirk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hibernianvs
Falkirk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 55.3%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 54.9%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Hibernian's 10 matches and 2 of Falkirk's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?