Hibernian vs Celtic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Easter Road
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.44
Draw
4.73
Away Win
1.56
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Hibernian
Celtic
Owen Elding (Joe Newell) ⚽
3'
5'
⚽ (OG) Jason Kerr
43'
⚽ Camilo Duran
45+1'
🟨 Kasper Hogh
Thibault Klidjé 🟨
47'
80'
🟨 Kieran Tierney
Marko Ivezic 🟨
85'
85'
🟨 Shumaira Mheuka
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
13
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
6
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Hibernian (4-2-3-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
M. Ivezić
A. Mayor
M. Chaiwa
J. Newell
J. Mulligan
J. McGrath
T. Klidje
O. Elding
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan
D. Murray
L. Scales
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
M. Baur
C. Durán
B. Nygren
C. Osmand
K. Høgh
Player Ratings ?
Hibernian
O. EldingF7.6
J. NewellM7.2
F. PasslackD6.6
Celtic
C. DuránM7.8
JotaF7.0
L. ScalesD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celtic arrive with a perfect away record, securing five straight victories on the road, while Hibernian have struggled at home in their last five outings, managing just one draw from four defeats. At home, Hibernian have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Celtic won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Hibernian's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Hibernian's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Celtic's implied win probability has risen by 4.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Celtic a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Celtic unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Celtic points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Celtic
Celtic's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Celtic win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 17.8%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.2% → 21.5%
−1.7 pts
Celtic win
Latest market chance 60.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
55.8% → 60.7%
+4.9 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HibernianCeltic
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
2.67
1.00
Goals/Game
2.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.56
15.9
Shots/Game
20.8
3.9
Shots on Target
8.4
Home vs Away Context
Hibernian at home (7 matches) vs Celtic away (9 matches)
0.14
Points/Game
2.33
0.86
Goals/Game
1.78
1.86
Conceded/Game
0.89
0%
Win Rate
78%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hibernian
Home form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celtic
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hibernian Wins
1
Draws
1
Celtic Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Hibernian1 – 2Celtic
Hibernian1 – 2Celtic
Celtic1 – 2Hibernian
Hibernian1 – 2Celtic
Celtic0 – 0Hibernian
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hibernianvs
Celtic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 61.5%+4.5 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 58.6%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?