Hearts vs Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tynecastle Park
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.32
Draw
3.76
Away Win
2.11
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Hearts
Rangers
4'
🟨 Nicolas Raskin
16'
⚽ Kevin Kelsy (Ryan Naderi)
44'
🟨 Emmanuel Fernandez
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga (Malachi Walcott) ⚽
48'
Calvin Miller ⚽
57'
61'
🟨 James Penrice
Wouter Vrancken 🟨
66'
70'
🟨 Badredine Bouanani
Jordi Altena 🟨
72'
Sabah Kerjota 🟨
87'
89'
⚽ Olwethu Makhanya (Badredine Bouanani)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
17
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Hearts (4-2-3-1)
B. Reus
J. Altena
M. Fagan-Walcott
J. McCart
R. Mato
L. Mendy
T. Magnússon
S. Kerjota
C. Miller
J. McPake
Cláudio Braga
Rangers (4-2-3-1)
I. Pandur
D. Sterling
E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya
J. Penrice
D. Neil
N. Raskin
Minsu Kim
R. Naderi
D. Gassama
K. Kelsy
Player Ratings ?
Hearts
Cláudio BragaF7.8
C. MillerM7.6
B. ReusG6.8
Rangers
K. KelsyF7.9
O. MakhanyaD7.8
B. BouananiF7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hearts edge attack and head-to-head, Rangers edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hearts slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rangers have secured three wins from two draws in their last five away outings, while Hearts remain unbeaten at home with five victories in that same span. Hearts have found the net in all five of their last home matches and kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Rangers rate stronger on form and defence, while Hearts rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Hearts won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 4 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Rangers's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Rangers unbeaten run
15
Hearts points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hearts win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 29.6%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 25.8%
−0.3 pts
Rangers win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.1% → 44.6%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hearts
Draw
Rangers
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HeartsRangers
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
2nd
10
Games Played
10
1.90
Points/Game
2.30
2.20
Goals/Game
1.70
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.70
16.6
Shots/Game
19.2
5.4
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away Context
Hearts at home (6 matches) vs Rangers away (7 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
2.14
2.83
Goals/Game
1.57
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.86
67%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hearts
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rangers
Away form
D
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hearts Wins
3
Draws
0
Rangers Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
Hearts2 – 1Rangers
Rangers4 – 2Hearts
Hearts2 – 1Rangers
Rangers0 – 2Hearts
Hearts1 – 3Rangers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heartsvs
Rangers
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
0.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 58.4%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 60.9%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?