Falkirk vs St Johnstone Head to Head | Scottish Premiership

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Falkirk edge recent form, attack and defence, St Johnstone edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Falkirk stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Falkirk stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Falkirk stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

St Johnstone stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift towards Falkirk

Falkirk's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Falkirk win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Falkirk win

Latest market chance 45.7%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

44.9% → 45.7%

+0.8 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.6%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.7% → 26.6%

−0.1 pts

St Johnstone win

Latest market chance 27.7%

Steady

Market view unchanged

28.4% → 27.7%

−0.7 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Falkirk

Draw

St Johnstone

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Falkirk

St Johnstone

Season Profile

This season

3rd

League Position

7th

Games Played

1.62

Points/Game

1.31

1.54

Goals/Game

1.31

1.08

Conceded/Game

1.54

11.7

Shots/Game

10.5

3.9

Shots on Target

3.4

Home vs Away Context

Falkirk at home (7 matches) vs St Johnstone away (7 matches)

1.71

Points/Game

1.14

1.57

Goals/Game

0.86

1.00

Conceded/Game

1.43

57%

Win Rate

29%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Falkirk

Home form

Won 3 straight at home

2.0

Goals scored
per match

0.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

St Johnstone

Away form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Falkirk Wins

Draws

St Johnstone Wins

Avg Goals

2.2

2026-09-192026-2027

St Johnstone1 – 1Falkirk

2010-05-052009-2010

Falkirk0 – 0St Johnstone

2010-03-232009-2010

St Johnstone1 – 1Falkirk

2010-03-132009-2010

Falkirk1 – 2St Johnstone

2009-10-312009-2010

St Johnstone3 – 1Falkirk

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Falkirk

St Johnstone

Recent Scoring Profile

2.00

Goals scored / game

1.20

0.80

Goals conceded / game

1.30

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

5/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

0/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

75.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

52.5%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

31.6%

BTTSBoth teams score

56.1%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 52.8%→Latest 52.5%−0.3 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.1%→Latest 55.9%−0.2 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Falkirk vs St Johnstone Head to Head, Prediction