Falkirk vs Dundee Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Falkirk Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
3.66
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Falkirk
Dundee
Jacob Murrell ⚽ (P)
31'
52'
⚽ Owen Bevan (Drey Wright)
90+1'
⚽ Ashley Hay (Ethan Hamilton)
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
22
5
Shots on Goal
10
3
Corner Kicks
10
12
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
8
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Falkirk (4-2-3-1)
S. Bain
R. Strain
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
L. McCann
B. Spencer
Finley Frank Barbrook
E. Ross
B. Krauhaus
Owen Eames
J. Murrell
Dundee (4-4-2)
O. Goodman
D. Wright
R. Astley
O. Bevan
I. Samuels
A. Forrest
C. Jones
E. Hamilton
J. Bevan
B. Fink
A. Hay
Player Ratings ?
Falkirk
S. BainG7.4
J. MurrellF7.0
Owen EamesM6.8
Dundee
A. HayF8.2
O. GoodmanG7.5
O. BevanD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Falkirk edge head-to-head, Dundee edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Falkirk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee have managed just one victory in their last five away outings, while Falkirk have also recorded only a single win from their own last five home games. At home, Falkirk have scored in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same recent run. Dundee rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Falkirk rate stronger on head-to-head. Falkirk won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 21-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Falkirk points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 46.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.1% → 46.8%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.7%
+0.4 pts
Dundee win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.5%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Falkirk
Draw
Dundee
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FalkirkDundee
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
1.43
0.86
Goals/Game
1.29
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.7
Shots/Game
12.6
3.9
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Falkirk at home (7 matches) vs Dundee away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Falkirk
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Falkirk Wins
4
Draws
0
Dundee Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Falkirk1 – 0Dundee
Dundee1 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 1Dundee
Dundee0 – 1Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 0Dundee
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Falkirkvs
Dundee
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 54.1%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 56.9%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Falkirk's 10 matches and 3 of Dundee's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?