Falkirk vs Celtic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Falkirk Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.98
Draw
4.74
Away Win
1.52
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Falkirk
Celtic
Ethan Ross ⚽
3'
Owen Eames 🟨
35'
35'
🟨 Haissem Hassan
Scott Tanser (Owen Eames) ⚽
38'
62'
🟨 James Forrest
68'
🟨 Liam Scales
Match Statistics ?
30%
Ball Possession
70%
6
Total Shots
24
2
Shots on Goal
9
0
Corner Kicks
14
19
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
9
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Falkirk (4-2-3-1)
S. Bain
R. Strain
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
S. Tanser
D. Meļņiks
B. Spencer
E. Ross
Finley Frank Barbrook
Owen Eames
J. Murrell
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan
C. Carter-Vickers
L. Scales
K. Tierney
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
C. McGregor
H. Hassan
M. Baur
C. Osmand
C. Durán
Player Ratings ?
Falkirk
S. BainG9.4
E. RossM7.8
S. TanserD7.3
Celtic
H. HassanM7.2
C. Carter-VickersD7.0
M. BaurM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celtic arrive at this Scottish Premiership fixture with a perfect away record in their last five outings, while Falkirk have suffered three defeats in their own home matches over the same period. At home, Falkirk have found the net in four of their last five matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that span. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Celtic won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 29 August 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Falkirk's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Falkirk's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points, while Celtic's implied win probability has fallen by 5.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Celtic.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Celtic unbeaten run
15
Celtic points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Celtic
Celtic's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Celtic win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 16.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
12.3% → 16.1%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
17.6% → 19.8%
+2.2 pts
Celtic win
Latest market chance 64.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
70.1% → 64.1%
−6.0 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FalkirkCeltic
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
1st
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
2.55
1.18
Goals/Game
2.45
1.09
Conceded/Game
0.73
11.7
Shots/Game
20.8
3.9
Shots on Target
8.4
Home vs Away Context
Falkirk at home (7 matches) vs Celtic away (9 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.33
1.57
Goals/Game
1.78
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.89
57%
Win Rate
78%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Falkirk
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celtic
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Falkirk Wins
1
Draws
0
Celtic Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Falkirk2 – 0Celtic
Celtic2 – 1Falkirk
Celtic3 – 1Falkirk
Celtic2 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk0 – 1Celtic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Falkirkvs
Celtic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.5%→Latest 62.8%−4.7 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 57.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?