Dundee United vs Motherwell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
CalForth Construction Arena
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.87
Away Win
3.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Dundee United
Motherwell
Dylan Tait 🟨
9'
9'
⚽ (P) Lukas Fadinger
Zachary Sapsford 🟨
11'
Jim Goodwin 🟨
34'
Jesse Randall (Lyall Cameron) ⚽
41'
56'
🟨 Martin Moormann
83'
🟨 Callum Hendry
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
24
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Goal
6
13
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
L. Cameron
D. Tait
Zidane Iqbal
J. Randall
Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie
Motherwell (4-2-3-1)
A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel
J. Hodge
L. Fadinger
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
I. Said
J. Kanga
S. Palmer-Houlden
Player Ratings ?
Dundee United
J. RandallF8.2
J. WaltonG7.8
L. CameronM7.7
Motherwell
A. PaulsenG7.7
J. HodgeM7.0
L. FadingerM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dundee United edge recent form, attack and defence, Motherwell edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Motherwell stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Motherwell arrive at Tannadice having recorded just two draws and three defeats in their last five away outings, whereas Dundee United have secured two wins alongside two draws from their last five home fixtures. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Dundee United rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Motherwell rate stronger on head-to-head. Motherwell won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 2 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee United's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Motherwell losing run
2
Motherwell points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 46.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.8% → 46.5%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 25.3%
+0.3 pts
Motherwell win
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.2%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee United
Draw
Motherwell
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
9th
11
Games Played
12
1.45
Points/Game
1.00
1.45
Goals/Game
1.17
1.45
Conceded/Game
1.67
15.9
Shots/Game
14.5
5.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Dundee United at home (6 matches) vs Motherwell away (7 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.86
1.17
Goals/Game
1.57
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.86
33%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dundee United
Home form
D
L
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Motherwell
Away form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee United Wins
1
Draws
1
Motherwell Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.6
Motherwell3 – 0Dundee United
Motherwell2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United0 – 0Motherwell
Motherwell2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 0Motherwell
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundee Unitedvs
Motherwell
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 59.5%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 62.1%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?