Dundee United vs Hibernian Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
CalForth Construction Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.62
Away Win
2.45
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Dundee United
Hibernian
28'
🟨 Miguel Changa Chaiwa
Daniel Bennie (Lyall Cameron) ⚽
35'
Michael Forbes 🟨
40'
Zidane Iqbal 🟨
57'
Dylan Tait 🟨
80'
84'
🟥 Jacob Devaney
abdoulaye yoro 🟨
90+3'
90+3'
🟨 Martin Boyle
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
17
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
Zidane Iqbal
L. Cameron
D. Tait
J. Randall
I. Metsoko
D. Bennie
Hibernian (5-4-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
M. Ivezić
A. Šuto
J. Iredale
O. Elding
M. Chaiwa
J. Mulligan
T. Klidje
C. Wright
Player Ratings ?
Dundee United
D. BennieF8.0
L. CameronM7.7
B. EsselinkD7.3
Hibernian
R. SallingerG7.7
J. KerrD6.9
M. IvezićD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hibernian edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hibernian have enjoyed a solid away run with four wins from their last five outings across seasons, while Dundee United have been more cautious at home with just one victory in that same span. At home, Dundee United have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that recent sample. Hibernian rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. Hibernian won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 4 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee United's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Dundee United's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Hibernian's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Hibernian losing run
12
Hibernian points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Dundee United
Dundee United's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dundee United win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Hibernian remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
33.4% → 34.7%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.7%
−0.1 pts
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 38.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
39.8% → 38.6%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee United
Draw
Hibernian
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dundee UnitedHibernian

Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.00
1.29
Goals/Game
1.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.57
15.9
Shots/Game
15.9
5.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Dundee United at home (6 matches) vs Hibernian away (6 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.67
1.17
Goals/Game
1.67
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Dundee United
Home form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Hibernian
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee United Wins
0
Draws
2
Hibernian Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
Hibernian3 – 2Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 1Hibernian
Hibernian3 – 3Dundee United
Hibernian3 – 1Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 3Hibernian
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundee Unitedvs
Hibernian

Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 57.8%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 61.2%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Dundee United's 10 matches and 3 of Hibernian's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?