Dundee United vs Aberdeen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
CalForth Construction Arena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.13
Draw
3.60
Away Win
3.41
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Dundee United
Aberdeen
Zidane Iqbal (Dylan Tait) ⚽
14'
17'
🟨 Brad Lyons
25'
⚽ Nesta Guinness-Walker (Kevin Nisbet)
Dylan Tait (Kevin Ciubotaru) ⚽
27'
56'
⚽ Connor Patrick Ronan (Lewis Smith)
Zachary Sapsford (Dylan Tait) ⚽
72'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
8
6
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
L. Cameron
D. Tait
Zidane Iqbal
J. Randall
Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie
Aberdeen (4-4-2)
M. Müller
C. Cadden
J. Milne
G. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker
B. Lyons
S. Armstrong
A. Aremu
C. Ronan
A. Mouloua
K. Nisbet
Player Ratings ?
Dundee United
D. TaitM8.8
Zidane IqbalM8.0
Z. SapsfordF7.7
Aberdeen
C. RonanM7.4
N. Guinness-WalkerD7.3
S. ArmstrongM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dundee United edge recent form, attack and defence, Aberdeen edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aberdeen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Aberdeen have recorded just one win and one draw from their last five away fixtures, while Dundee United boast a record of one win and three draws at home in that same span. At home, Dundee United have scored in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that period. Dundee United hold a slight advantage in form and attack and defence, while Aberdeen rate stronger on head-to-head. Aberdeen won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 9 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee United's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Dundee United's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Aberdeen's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Aberdeen
Aberdeen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Aberdeen win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Dundee United remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
43.1% → 44.5%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.7%
+0.2 pts
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 28.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.4% → 28.9%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee United
Draw
Aberdeen
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
1.33
Points/Game
1.22
1.22
Goals/Game
1.11
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.11
15.9
Shots/Game
13.2
5.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Dundee United at home (6 matches) vs Aberdeen away (5 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.80
1.17
Goals/Game
1.40
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.80
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dundee United
Home form
D
D
L
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aberdeen
Away form
L
L
L
W
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee United Wins
2
Draws
2
Aberdeen Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Aberdeen2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United0 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen1 – 1Dundee United
Dundee United2 – 0Aberdeen
Dundee United2 – 1Aberdeen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundee Unitedvs
Aberdeen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 57.8%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Dundee United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?