Celtic vs St Mirren Head to Head, Prediction
Celtic Park
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.12
Draw
8.10
Away Win
16.50
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celtic win
Latest market chance 82.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
82.3% → 82.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 12.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.1% → 12.1%
±0.0 pts
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 5.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
5.7% → 5.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celtic
Draw
St Mirren
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CelticSt Mirren
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
8th
13
Games Played
13
2.38
Points/Game
1.08
2.15
Goals/Game
0.92
0.77
Conceded/Game
1.69
20.8
Shots/Game
12.1
8.4
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Celtic at home (9 matches) vs St Mirren away (6 matches)
2.44
Points/Game
1.00
2.67
Goals/Game
0.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
78%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celtic
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Mirren
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celtic Wins
4
Draws
1
St Mirren Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
St Mirren1 – 2Celtic
Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
St Mirren0 – 1Celtic
Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
Celtic1 – 1St Mirren
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celticvs
St Mirren
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 73.5%→Latest 73.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 51.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?