Celtic vs Kilmarnock Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Celtic Park
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.16
Draw
9.13
Away Win
13.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Celtic
Kilmarnock
9'
🟨 Tom Lowery
Liam Scales (Camilo Duran) ⚽
26'
33'
🟨 Joe Hugill
40'
🟨 Cathal McCarthy
50'
🟨 Jamie Brandon
61'
🟨 Tyreece John-Jules
Benjamin Nygren •
76'
Yang Hyun-Jun 🟨
82'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
7
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan
C. Carter-Vickers
L. Scales
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
M. Baur
C. Durán
B. Nygren
Jota
K. Høgh
Kilmarnock (4-2-3-1)
N. Mantl
J. Brandon
C. McCarthy
G. Stanger
M. Schjønning-Larsen
A. Tshibola
T. Lowery
J. Hugill
G. Kiltie
I. Owen
T. John-Jules
Player Ratings ?
Celtic
L. ScalesD7.9
C. DuránM7.7
S. JohnstoneG7.5
Kilmarnock
N. MantlG7.3
G. StangerD6.9
A. TshibolaM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celtic have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Kilmarnock have managed just one win in that same span across their away fixtures. The Hoops have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Celtic won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 9 August 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Kilmarnock's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Celtic's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Kilmarnock's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Celtic a strong edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Celtic remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celtic win
Latest market chance 81.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
80.7% → 81.6%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
13.1% → 11.6%
−1.5 pts
Kilmarnock win
Latest market chance 6.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
6.1% → 6.8%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celtic
Draw
Kilmarnock
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CelticKilmarnock
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
12th
12
Games Played
12
2.33
Points/Game
0.75
2.25
Goals/Game
1.08
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.33
20.8
Shots/Game
11.7
8.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Celtic at home (9 matches) vs Kilmarnock away (8 matches)
2.44
Points/Game
0.50
2.67
Goals/Game
0.75
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.88
78%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celtic
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kilmarnock
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celtic Wins
5
Draws
0
Kilmarnock Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.8
Celtic1 – 0Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock1 – 5Celtic
Kilmarnock2 – 3Celtic
Celtic4 – 0Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock1 – 2Celtic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celticvs
Kilmarnock
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.6%→Latest 74.6%+5.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 54.2%+6.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?