Celtic vs Dundee United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Celtic Park
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.26
Draw
5.80
Away Win
10.73
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Celtic
Dundee United
Camilo Duran (Kasper Hogh) ⚽
18'
28'
⚽ Zachary Sapsford (Lyall Cameron)
31'
⚽ Neil Farrugia
Colby Donovan 🟨
33'
Kasper Hogh 🟨
39'
Liam Scales (Jota) ⚽
65'
71'
🟨 Michael Forbes
83'
🟨 Jack Walton
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
29
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
5
13
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan
D. Murray
L. Scales
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
M. Baur
C. Durán
B. Nygren
C. Osmand
K. Høgh
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
L. Cameron
D. Tait
Zidane Iqbal
J. Randall
Z. Sapsford
N. Farrugia
Player Ratings ?
Celtic
L. ScalesD7.5
C. DuránM7.5
JotaF7.3
Dundee United
Z. SapsfordF8.2
N. FarrugiaF7.4
L. CameronM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Dundee United edge head-to-head, giving Celtic a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee United have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Celtic boast four victories in that same span at home. Celtic have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have conceded in every other game during that period. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Dundee United hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Dundee United won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 22 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Celtic's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Celtic a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Celtic unbeaten run
12
Celtic points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celtic win
Latest market chance 74.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
73.4% → 74.0%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.6% → 16.4%
−0.2 pts
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 9.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.1% → 9.6%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celtic
Draw
Dundee United
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CelticDundee United
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
2.70
Points/Game
1.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.40
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.40
20.8
Shots/Game
15.9
8.4
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Celtic at home (9 matches) vs Dundee United away (6 matches)
2.44
Points/Game
1.33
2.67
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
78%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celtic
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee United
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celtic Wins
3
Draws
0
Dundee United Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.4
Dundee United2 – 0Celtic
Celtic4 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United2 – 1Celtic
Dundee United0 – 5Celtic
Celtic3 – 0Dundee United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celticvs
Dundee United
Recent Scoring Profile
2.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.0%→Latest 68.6%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 55.6%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?