Aberdeen vs Hibernian Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Pittodrie Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.51
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 4
Match Events ?
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Daniel Happe 🟨
17'
50'
🟨 Marko Ivezic
57'
⚽ Jamie McGrath (Joe Newell)
79'
⚽ Callum·Wright
87'
⚽ Nicky Cadden
90+3'
⚽ Thibault Klidjé (Callum·Wright)
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
15
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Goal
6
8
Corner Kicks
6
17
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Aberdeen (4-2-3-1)
M. Müller
N. Devlin
J. Milne
D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker
C. Ronan
A. Aremu
H. Mahou
B. Lyons
Tony Yogane
K. Nisbet
Hibernian (4-2-3-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
M. Ivezić
J. Iredale
M. Chaiwa
J. Newell
J. Mulligan
J. McGrath
M. Boyle
O. Elding
Player Ratings ?
Aberdeen
Lewis SmithF6.6
C. RonanM6.5
N. DevlinD6.3
Hibernian
J. McGrathM7.9
C. WrightM7.7
J. NewellM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aberdeen edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aberdeen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Aberdeen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hibernian have secured two victories and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Aberdeen have managed just one win alongside another draw in their corresponding home sample. At home, Aberdeen have found the net in only one of their last five matches while keeping a clean sheet just once during that same period. Aberdeen hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Aberdeen remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.9% → 38.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.5% → 27.7%
+1.2 pts
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.5% → 34.1%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aberdeen
Draw
Hibernian
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AberdeenHibernian

Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
11
Games Played
11
1.00
Points/Game
0.73
1.09
Goals/Game
1.00
1.27
Conceded/Game
1.55
13.2
Shots/Game
15.9
3.3
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Aberdeen at home (8 matches) vs Hibernian away (6 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.67
0.62
Goals/Game
1.67
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Aberdeen
Home form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Hibernian
Away form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aberdeen Wins
2
Draws
1
Hibernian Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Hibernian1 – 1Aberdeen
Aberdeen2 – 0Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen1 – 2Hibernian
Aberdeen1 – 0Hibernian
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aberdeenvs
Hibernian

Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 52.8%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 57.6%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?