Aberdeen vs Falkirk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Pittodrie Stadium
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.56
Away Win
3.51
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Daniel Happe 🟨
17'
69'
🟨 Owen Eames
73'
⚽ Ben krauhaus (Ryan Strain)
Findlay Marshall 🟨
73'
80'
🟨 Conor McLeod
83'
🟨 Ben krauhaus
89'
🟨 Brad Spencer
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
15
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Aberdeen (4-2-3-1)
M. Müller
C. Cadden
G. Molloy
D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker
B. Lyons
A. Aremu
Lewis Smith
K. Nisbet
S. Armstrong
A. Mouloua
Falkirk (4-2-3-1)
S. Bain
R. Strain
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
L. McCann
D. Meļņiks
B. Spencer
E. Ross
Finley Frank Barbrook
Owen Eames
J. Murrell
Player Ratings ?
Aberdeen
S. ArmstrongM7.2
A. AremuM6.8
A. MoulouaF6.7
Falkirk
S. BainG7.9
B. KrauhausM7.5
R. StrainD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Falkirk edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Falkirk slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Falkirk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Falkirk arrive at Pittodrie having recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while Aberdeen have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. The hosts have found the net in only one of their last five home fixtures and have kept just a single clean sheet during that same period. Falkirk rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, Aberdeen's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points, while Falkirk's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Aberdeen losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Aberdeen
Aberdeen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Aberdeen win as less likely than it did 10 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 45.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
48.1% → 45.8%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.3% → 27.2%
+0.9 pts
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.6% → 27.0%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aberdeen
Draw
Falkirk
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AberdeenFalkirk
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.20
1.20
Goals/Game
1.20
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.20
13.2
Shots/Game
11.7
3.3
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Aberdeen at home (8 matches) vs Falkirk away (7 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.71
0.62
Goals/Game
1.57
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aberdeen
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Falkirk
Away form
D
L
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aberdeen Wins
1
Draws
1
Falkirk Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.8
Aberdeen1 – 1Falkirk
Falkirk1 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen0 – 1Falkirk
Aberdeen1 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk3 – 1Aberdeen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aberdeenvs
Falkirk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.1%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 56.3%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?