Stirling vs Elgin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Forthbank Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.18
Draw
3.62
Away Win
2.02
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Elgin edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elgin slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Elgin have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Stirling have managed two victories alongside two draws in their corresponding home sample. Stirling have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Elgin rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack is closely matched. Elgin won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 29 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Stirling's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stirling win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 29.2%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.1%
−0.2 pts
Elgin win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.0% → 45.7%
+0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stirling
Draw
Elgin
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Stirling
Elgin
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
3rd
13
Games Played
13
1.15
Points/Game
1.62
1.46
Goals/Game
2.15
2.23
Conceded/Game
1.46
9.2
Shots/Game
11.8
4.9
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Stirling at home (6 matches) vs Elgin away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.67
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stirling
Home form
D
L
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Elgin
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stirling Wins
0
Draws
2
Elgin Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-08-292026-2027
Elgin4 – 0Stirling
2026-04-182025-2026
Stirling2 – 2Elgin
2026-02-212025-2026
Elgin1 – 0Stirling
2025-11-222025-2026
Stirling1 – 1Elgin
2025-09-132025-2026
Elgin3 – 0Stirling
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stirling
vs
Elgin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 59.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 61.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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