Spartans vs Annan Athletic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ainslie Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.70
Away Win
4.09
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Spartans
Annan Athletic
M. Stowe (R. Dinanga) ⚽
17'
18'
🟨 A. Roy
A. Sonkur 🟨
19'
19'
⚽ (P) W. Gibson
M. McNulty ⚽ (P)
57'
60'
🟨 K. Watson
65'
🟨 S. McKenzie
M. McNulty ⚽ (P)
72'
M. McNulty 🟨
80'
86'
🟨 W. Gibson
88'
⚽ C. O'Donnell
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Spartans
Spartans rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Spartans a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Annan Athletic have recorded just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Spartans have managed one win and two draws from their corresponding home fixtures over the same span. At home, Spartans have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Spartans rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Spartans won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 1 August 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Annan Athletic's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Spartans's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points, while Annan Athletic's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Spartans a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Spartans
Spartans's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Spartans win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Spartans win
Latest market chance 52.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
56.1% → 52.7%
−3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.2% → 24.8%
+1.6 pts
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 22.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.6% → 22.5%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Spartans
Draw
Annan Athletic
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SpartansAnnan Athletic
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
10th
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
0.82
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.82
Conceded/Game
1.91
11.0
Shots/Game
9.5
5.4
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Spartans at home (7 matches) vs Annan Athletic away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.50
2.29
Goals/Game
0.83
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.83
29%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Spartans
Home form
D
D
W
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Annan Athletic
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Spartans Wins
4
Draws
1
Annan Athletic Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Annan Athletic2 – 4Spartans
Annan Athletic0 – 2Spartans
Spartans4 – 0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1 – 1Spartans
Spartans1 – 0Annan Athletic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Spartansvs
Annan Athletic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 54.8%−4.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 55.7%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?