Forfar vs Spartans Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Station Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.47
Draw
3.44
Away Win
1.97
Match Prediction
Data favours
Spartans
Spartans rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Spartans an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Spartans have recorded two victories from their last five away outings, while Forfar have secured two wins and a draw in their corresponding home sample over the same period. At home, Forfar have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same run. Spartans rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Spartans won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 12 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Forfar's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Forfar's implied win probability has risen by 3.8 percentage points, while Spartans's implied win probability has fallen by 5.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Spartans.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Spartans
Spartans's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Spartans win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forfar win
Latest market chance 26.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
22.2% → 26.0%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
24.4% → 26.4%
+2.0 pts
Spartans win
Latest market chance 47.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.4% → 47.6%
−5.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forfar
Draw
Spartans
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ForfarSpartans
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
5th
13
Games Played
13
0.92
Points/Game
1.38
1.08
Goals/Game
2.08
1.92
Conceded/Game
1.92
8.2
Shots/Game
11.0
3.9
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Forfar at home (6 matches) vs Spartans away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
1.17
Goals/Game
1.83
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forfar
Home form
W
L
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Spartans
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forfar Wins
0
Draws
2
Spartans Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Spartans5 – 1Forfar
Forfar1 – 1Spartans
Spartans1 – 0Forfar
Forfar1 – 1Spartans
Spartans1 – 0Forfar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forfarvs
Spartans
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.40
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 53.3%−4.4 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 56.2%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?