Forfar vs Edinburgh City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Station Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.11
Draw
3.81
Away Win
2.00
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Forfar
Edinburgh City
A. Arnott (C. Slater) ⚽
7'
28'
🟨 J. Grigor
32'
⚽ L. Walker
A. Haddow 🟨
41'
C. Slater 🟨
49'
52'
🟨 M. Aiken
79'
🟨 J. Jarvis
R. Hickey 🟨
82'
86'
🟨 J. Leitch
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Forfar edge head-to-head, giving Edinburgh City a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Edinburgh City have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, while Forfar have secured three victories in their last five home outings. Forfar have found the net in four of their last five matches at home and have also kept three clean sheets during that same run. Edinburgh City rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Forfar rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 1-day comparison window, Forfar's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Edinburgh City's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Edinburgh City a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Edinburgh City win as more likely than it did 1 day ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forfar win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.2% → 29.7%
−2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 25.8%
−0.6 pts
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.3% → 44.5%
+3.2 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
4th
12
Games Played
12
0.92
Points/Game
1.58
1.08
Goals/Game
1.83
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.58
8.2
Shots/Game
12.6
3.9
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Forfar at home (6 matches) vs Edinburgh City away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.43
1.17
Goals/Game
1.57
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forfar
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Edinburgh City
Away form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forfar Wins
1
Draws
3
Edinburgh City Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
2026-08-282026-2027
Edinburgh City1 – 1Forfar
2026-04-252025-2026
Forfar4 – 0Edinburgh City
2026-02-282025-2026
Edinburgh City0 – 0Forfar
2025-12-202025-2026
Forfar2 – 3Edinburgh City
2025-09-272025-2026
Edinburgh City1 – 1Forfar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forfar
vs
Edinburgh City
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.00
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 54.9%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 58.4%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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