Edinburgh City vs Spartans Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadowbank Sports Centre
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.72
Draw
3.36
Away Win
2.34
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Edinburgh City
Spartans
C. McGinn ⚽
12'
35'
🟨 M. Stowe
45'
⚽ M. McNulty (M. Stowe)
46'
⚽ M. Mudie
62'
🟨 None
I. Lawson 🟨
62'
69'
⚽ S. Welsh (B. Walls)
90'
🟨 Z. McAllister
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Edinburgh City edge recent form, attack and defence, Spartans edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Edinburgh City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Edinburgh City have secured three victories in their last five outings at home, while Spartans have managed just two wins from five away fixtures during this period. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at home and kept two clean sheets in the same sample. Edinburgh City rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Spartans rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Spartans remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 34.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.9% → 34.2%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.4% → 26.8%
+1.4 pts
Spartans win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.7% → 39.0%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Edinburgh City
Draw
Spartans
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Edinburgh CitySpartans
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
2.11
Goals/Game
2.11
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.89
12.6
Shots/Game
11.0
6.6
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Edinburgh City at home (6 matches) vs Spartans away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.83
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.67
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Edinburgh City
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Spartans
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Edinburgh City Wins
1
Draws
2
Spartans Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Spartans2 – 2Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City0 – 3Spartans
Spartans0 – 0Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City1 – 3Spartans
Spartans0 – 1Edinburgh City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Edinburgh Cityvs
Spartans
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 55.9%−3.7 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 59.9%−2.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Edinburgh City's 10 matches and 1 of Spartans's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?