Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadowbank Sports Centre
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.76
Draw
3.87
Away Win
3.88
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Edinburgh City
Dumbarton
I. Lawson (J. Leitch) ⚽
10'
32'
⚽ L. McIntosh (S. Honeyman)
35'
🟨 S. Honeyman
I. Lawson 🟨
42'
M. Aiken 🟨
45+3'
63'
🟨 F. Turley
T. North 🟨
72'
J. McGregor 🟨
86'
90+1'
🟨 A. Omar
J. Leitch (J. Jarvis) ⚽
90+2'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Edinburgh City an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dumbarton arrive with a concerning record of five defeats in their last five away outings, whereas Edinburgh City have secured two victories and one draw from their last five home fixtures. Edinburgh City have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have kept just one clean sheet across the same period. Edinburgh City rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Edinburgh City won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 15 August 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Dumbarton's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Edinburgh City.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Dumbarton losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Dumbarton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Edinburgh City win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.2% → 52.9%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.0%
−0.3 pts
Dumbarton win
Latest market chance 23.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.5% → 23.1%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Edinburgh City
Draw
Dumbarton
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Edinburgh CityDumbarton
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
11
Games Played
11
1.45
Points/Game
1.18
1.82
Goals/Game
1.09
1.64
Conceded/Game
1.64
12.6
Shots/Game
8.4
6.6
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Edinburgh City at home (6 matches) vs Dumbarton away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.43
2.00
Goals/Game
0.86
2.17
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Edinburgh City
Home form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dumbarton
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Edinburgh City Wins
5
Draws
0
Dumbarton Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.2
Dumbarton0 – 3Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City5 – 0Dumbarton
Dumbarton1 – 2Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City4 – 3Dumbarton
Dumbarton1 – 2Edinburgh City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Edinburgh Cityvs
Dumbarton
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.0%→Latest 57.7%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 58.1%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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