Dumbarton vs Stirling Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dumbarton Football Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.59
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Dumbarton
Stirling
39'
🟨 D. Dobbie
T. Lang 🟨
45+2'
65'
⚽ K. Waugh
70'
🟨 M. Thomas
78'
🟨 Z. Cameron
J. Sowa ⚽
79'
K. Kirkpatrick 🟨
90+2'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dumbarton edge recent form and defence, Stirling edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dumbarton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stirling slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dumbarton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stirling stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stirling arrive at Dumbarton having recorded just a solitary victory in their last five away fixtures, while the hosts have enjoyed a markedly superior run with four wins from their most recent five home outings. Dumbarton have found the net in four of their last five matches at home and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Dumbarton rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Stirling rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Stirling won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 1 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Dumbarton's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Dumbarton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Stirling's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Dumbarton losing run
3
Stirling points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Dumbarton
Dumbarton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Dumbarton win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dumbarton win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
40.3% → 39.1%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 25.7%
+0.6 pts
Stirling win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.6% → 35.2%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dumbarton
Draw
Stirling
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DumbartonStirling

Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
1.20
Points/Game
1.10
1.10
Goals/Game
1.30
1.70
Conceded/Game
2.30
8.4
Shots/Game
9.2
3.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Dumbarton at home (6 matches) vs Stirling away (7 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.57
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.00
67%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Dumbarton
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Stirling
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dumbarton Wins
1
Draws
2
Stirling Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Stirling2 – 0Dumbarton
Dumbarton2 – 1Stirling
Stirling1 – 1Dumbarton
Dumbarton1 – 2Stirling
Stirling2 – 2Dumbarton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dumbartonvs
Stirling

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 60.7%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.9%→Latest 63.5%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?