Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dumbarton Football Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.85
Draw
3.74
Away Win
3.59
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dumbarton
Dumbarton rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Annan Athletic edge head-to-head, giving Dumbarton a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dumbarton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dumbarton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dumbarton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Annan Athletic slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Annan Athletic have suffered five straight defeats away from home in their last five outings, while Dumbarton have secured three wins and a draw from an equal number of matches at this venue. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Dumbarton rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Annan Athletic hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Annan Athletic won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 29 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Dumbarton's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Dumbarton's implied win probability has risen by 4.9 percentage points, while Annan Athletic's implied win probability has fallen by 4.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Dumbarton a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Dumbarton losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Annan Athletic points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Dumbarton
Dumbarton's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dumbarton win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dumbarton win
Latest market chance 46.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.6% → 46.7%
+5.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.3%
−0.4 pts
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 28.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.7% → 28.0%
−4.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dumbarton
Draw
Annan Athletic
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DumbartonAnnan Athletic

Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
13
Games Played
13
1.23
Points/Game
0.69
1.15
Goals/Game
1.08
1.54
Conceded/Game
2.00
8.4
Shots/Game
9.5
3.5
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Dumbarton at home (6 matches) vs Annan Athletic away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.50
1.50
Goals/Game
0.83
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Dumbarton
Home form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Annan Athletic
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dumbarton Wins
3
Draws
0
Annan Athletic Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Annan Athletic2 – 0Dumbarton
Dumbarton2 – 1Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1 – 0Dumbarton
Dumbarton2 – 1Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3 – 4Dumbarton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dumbartonvs
Annan Athletic

Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 57.0%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 59.1%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?