Clyde vs Dumbarton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New Douglas Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.55
Draw
4.04
Away Win
5.03
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Clyde
Dumbarton
L. Dunachie 🟨
20'
20'
🟨 L. McIntosh
21'
🟨 T. Lang
S. Williamson (K. Connell) ⚽
22'
J. Bradley ⚽
44'
T. Scott 🟨
67'
88'
⚽ L. McIntosh (M. Munn)
90+1'
🟥 C. McKenna
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Clyde edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Clyde stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Clyde stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Clyde slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Clyde have enjoyed a perfect record at home in their last five outings, while Dumbarton have suffered five consecutive defeats on the road. The hosts have scored in all of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Clyde rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Dumbarton won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Clyde's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Clyde's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Dumbarton's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Dumbarton losing run
15
Clyde points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Dumbarton
Dumbarton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Dumbarton win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Clyde remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Clyde win
Latest market chance 59.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
57.0% → 59.0%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.0% → 22.6%
+0.6 pts
Dumbarton win
Latest market chance 18.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 18.4%
−2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Clyde
Draw
Dumbarton
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ClydeDumbarton
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
1.89
Points/Game
1.33
2.33
Goals/Game
1.11
1.78
Conceded/Game
1.67
15.1
Shots/Game
8.4
5.8
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Clyde at home (7 matches) vs Dumbarton away (7 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.43
3.14
Goals/Game
0.86
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Clyde
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dumbarton
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Clyde Wins
2
Draws
1
Dumbarton Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Dumbarton1 – 0Clyde
Clyde2 – 0Dumbarton
Dumbarton0 – 0Clyde
Clyde3 – 1Dumbarton
Dumbarton2 – 1Clyde
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Clydevs
Dumbarton
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 64.1%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 61.6%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Clyde's 10 matches and 1 of Dumbarton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?