Annan Athletic vs Stranraer Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Galabank
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.72
Draw
3.47
Away Win
2.30
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 6
Match Events ?
Annan Athletic
Stranraer
12'
🟨 A. Traynor
23'
⚽ A. Healy (A. Traynor)
36'
⚽ A. Healy (A. Traynor)
W. Gibson 🟨
37'
60'
⚽ A. Traynor (A. Quigg)
69'
⚽ (OG) T. Muir
73'
⚽ D. Clelland (A. Healy)
A. Smith (M. Niang) ⚽
75'
77'
⚽ D. Clelland (E. Dunne)
D. Williams 🟨
84'
C. Clark 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Annan Athletic edge head-to-head, Stranraer edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stranraer stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stranraer stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Annan Athletic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stranraer arrive at Annan Athletic with an impressive away record of three wins and a draw from their last five outings, while the hosts have suffered three defeats in their corresponding home sample over the same period. Annan Athletic have scored in four of their last five matches at home yet have kept just two clean sheets during that identical span. Stranraer rate stronger on form and attack, while Annan Athletic rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Annan Athletic won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Stranraer's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Annan Athletic's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Stranraer's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Stranraer unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
47%
Stranraer yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Annan Athletic win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Stranraer remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.1% → 33.9%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.6%
+0.2 pts
Stranraer win
Latest market chance 39.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 39.4%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Annan Athletic
Draw
Stranraer
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Annan AthleticStranraer
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.89
1.00
Goals/Game
1.89
1.22
Conceded/Game
0.89
9.5
Shots/Game
11.1
3.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Annan Athletic at home (7 matches) vs Stranraer away (6 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
2.17
1.29
Goals/Game
3.17
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.17
29%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Annan Athletic
Home form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stranraer
Away form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Annan Athletic Wins
3
Draws
2
Stranraer Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.4
Stranraer0 – 1Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1 – 0Stranraer
Stranraer0 – 0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic2 – 2Stranraer
Stranraer0 – 1Annan Athletic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Annan Athleticvs
Stranraer
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 55.9%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 59.4%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Annan Athletic's 10 matches and 1 of Stranraer's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?