Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Galabank
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.32
Away Win
2.84
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
10'
⚽ J. Hislop
41'
🟨 R. Shanley
53'
🟨 C. Hannah
K. Watson 🟥
58'
C. Maxwell 🟨
62'
C. O'Donnell ⚽
67'
83'
🟨 L. Moore
85'
⚽ J. Brydon (J. Hislop)
A. Muirhead 🟨
87'
T. Muir 🟨
88'
A. Smith 🟨
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Annan Athletic edge defence, Kelty Hearts edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kelty Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kelty Hearts slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Annan Athletic slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Kelty Hearts slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kelty Hearts have struggled on the road with just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Annan Athletic have found greater success at home with two wins from their most recent five matches. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Kelty Hearts rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and head-to-head, while Annan Athletic hold a slight advantage in defence. Kelty Hearts won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 5 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Annan Athletic's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 1-day comparison window, Annan Athletic's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points, while Kelty Hearts's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Annan Athletic win as more likely than it did 1 day ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 40.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.3% → 40.6%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.7%
+0.1 pts
Kelty Hearts win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.0% → 32.7%
−2.3 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
6th
12
Games Played
12
0.75
Points/Game
1.25
1.08
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
9.5
Shots/Game
10.4
3.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Annan Athletic at home (7 matches) vs Kelty Hearts away (7 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
0.86
1.29
Goals/Game
1.00
2.14
Conceded/Game
2.00
29%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Annan Athletic
Home form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Kelty Hearts
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Annan Athletic Wins
2
Draws
0
Kelty Hearts Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-09-052026-2027
Kelty Hearts2 – 1Annan Athletic
2025-03-292024-2025
Annan Athletic2 – 1Kelty Hearts
2025-02-012024-2025
Kelty Hearts1 – 3Annan Athletic
2024-11-162024-2025
Annan Athletic0 – 2Kelty Hearts
2024-09-282024-2025
Kelty Hearts3 – 0Annan Athletic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Annan Athletic
vs
Kelty Hearts
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.5%→Latest 55.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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