Ross County vs Hamilton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Global Energy Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.59
Draw
3.87
Away Win
4.92
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Ross County
Hamilton
D. Smith (K. Phillips) ⚽
31'
38'
⚽ S. McKinstry (A. Ryan)
64'
🟨 A. Ryan
J. Turner 🟨
85'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ross County edge attack and head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hamilton have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Ross County boast a strong record at home with four victories in that same span. Ross County have scored in each of their last five home matches but have kept three clean sheets in that identical run. Hamilton rate stronger on form and defence, while Ross County rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Ross County unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Ross County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ross County win
Latest market chance 57.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.9% → 57.7%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.4% → 23.6%
+0.2 pts
Hamilton win
Latest market chance 18.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.6% → 18.7%
+0.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ross CountyHamilton
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
2nd
11
Games Played
11
2.82
Points/Game
2.82
3.82
Goals/Game
2.27
0.55
Conceded/Game
0.36
13.7
Shots/Game
11.3
6.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Ross County at home (8 matches) vs Hamilton away (8 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.88
3.50
Goals/Game
1.62
0.62
Conceded/Game
0.88
75%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ross County
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
4.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hamilton
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ross County Wins
3
Draws
1
Hamilton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Ross County1 – 1Hamilton
Ross County2 – 1Hamilton
Hamilton1 – 2Ross County
Ross County0 – 2Hamilton
Hamilton0 – 1Ross County
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ross Countyvs
Hamilton
Recent Scoring Profile
4.00
Goals scored / game
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded / game
0.50
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 56.7%+6.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 54.9%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?