Queen of Sth vs Ross County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Palmerston Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.94
Draw
5.72
Away Win
1.26
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 7
Match Events ?
Queen of Sth
Ross County
4'
⚽ R. Chin (B. Graham)
8'
⚽ C. Hamilton
10'
⚽ A. Wright (R. Chin)
23'
⚽ C. Randall (B. Graham)
43'
⚽ R. Docherty (C. Hamilton)
52'
🟨 R. Chin
67'
🟨 L. Strapp
L. Smith (C. Goldie) ⚽
70'
S. Want 🟨
74'
74'
🟨 B. Graham
82'
⚽ B. Graham
C. Goldie 🟨
85'
85'
⚽ (P) B. Graham
Z. MacKenzie 🟨
87'
Starting Lineups
Queen of Sth
D. Mehmet
C. Goldie
N. Rogerson
S. Want
T. Charters
Z. MacKenzie
J. Stott
L. Smith
N. Clark
A. Hutton
C. Young
Ross County
B. Foster
C. Randall
A. Wright
D. Smith
L. Strapp
R. Chin
C. Hamilton
R. Docherty
L. McCarvel
K. Phillips
B. Graham
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ross County
Ross County rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Ross County a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ross County have enjoyed a solid away run in their last five outings with four wins and just one draw, while Queen of Sth have won two at home but also suffered two defeats over the same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches yet remain without a clean sheet in that identical sample. Ross County rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Ross County won the most recent meeting 8-0 on 15 September 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Queen of Sth's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Queen of Sth's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Ross County's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Ross County a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Ross County unbeaten run
13
Ross County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Ross County
Ross County's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Ross County win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Queen of Sth win
Latest market chance 9.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
8.5% → 9.7%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.2% → 16.4%
+0.2 pts
Ross County win
Latest market chance 73.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
75.4% → 73.9%
−1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Queen of Sth
Draw
Ross County
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Queen of Sth
Ross County
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
1st
10
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
2.78
1.10
Goals/Game
3.44
2.70
Conceded/Game
0.56
8.5
Shots/Game
13.7
3.4
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Queen of Sth at home (7 matches) vs Ross County away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.71
1.29
Goals/Game
3.14
2.43
Conceded/Game
0.71
29%
Win Rate
86%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Queen of Sth
Home form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Ross County
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Queen of Sth Wins
1
Draws
2
Ross County Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
2026-09-152026-2027
Ross County8 – 0Queen of Sth
2019-04-262018-2019
Ross County4 – 0Queen of Sth
2019-01-122018-2019
Queen of Sth4 – 0Ross County
2018-12-082018-2019
Ross County1 – 1Queen of Sth
2018-09-152018-2019
Queen of Sth0 – 0Ross County
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Queen of Sth
vs
Ross County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
3.20
2.70
Goals conceded / game
0.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
68.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
48.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.5%→Latest 68.0%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 54.7%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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