Peterhead vs Queen of Sth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Balmoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.33
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Peterhead
Queen of Sth
24'
🟨 N. Rogerson
B. Yule 🟨
29'
37'
🟨 J. Stott
M. Megginson 🟨
41'
C. Dunne 🟨
58'
D. Forrest 🟨
70'
None 🟨
82'
85'
⚽ (P) C. Young
A. McCarthy 🟨
90'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Peterhead edge defence and head-to-head, Queen of Sth edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Queen of Sth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Queen of Sth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Peterhead stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterhead stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides have struggled in their most recent outings, with Peterhead picking up just one win from five at home while Queen of the South managed a solitary victory away from home over their last five fixtures. Peterhead have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Queen of Sth rate stronger on form and attack, while Peterhead rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Peterhead won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Queen of Sth's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Peterhead's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Queen of Sth's implied win probability has fallen by 0.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Queen of Sth losing run
3
Peterhead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Peterhead
Peterhead's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Peterhead win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.1% → 46.1%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.0% → 25.9%
+0.9 pts
Queen of Sth win
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterhead
Draw
Queen of Sth
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterheadQueen of Sth
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
0.78
0.78
Goals/Game
1.11
1.78
Conceded/Game
3.00
7.9
Shots/Game
8.5
3.0
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Peterhead at home (7 matches) vs Queen of Sth away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.86
1.00
Goals/Game
0.71
1.29
Conceded/Game
3.00
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterhead
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Queen of Sth
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
4.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterhead Wins
3
Draws
1
Queen of Sth Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Queen of Sth0 – 1Peterhead
Peterhead1 – 1Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth0 – 2Peterhead
Peterhead3 – 0Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth4 – 0Peterhead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterheadvs
Queen of Sth
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 58.4%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 60.8%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Peterhead's 10 matches and 1 of Queen of Sth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?