Peterhead vs Cove Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Balmoor
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.33
Draw
3.37
Away Win
2.74
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Peterhead
Cove Rangers
D. Forrest 🟨
32'
49'
🟨 C. Maguire
C. Smith ⚽
53'
68'
🟥 M. Barry
J. Brown 🟨
69'
C. Hepburn 🟨
69'
69'
🟨 J. White
M. Megginson ⚽
78'
Starting Lineups
Peterhead
C. Hepburn
A. Graham
J. Brown
J. Kerr
D. Strachan
D. Forrest
B. Yule
A. McCarthy
R. Tekle
M. Megginson
C. Smith
Cove Rangers
R. Mutch
A. Darge
R. Harrington
J. Mercer
L. Bisland
J. Chalmers
M. Barry
D. Ross
C. Maguire
J. White
D. Oladipo
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Peterhead edge defence, Cove Rangers edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Cove Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Peterhead stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cove Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cove Rangers arrive with a worrying run of five straight defeats on their travels, while Peterhead have managed just one victory in their last five outings at home. Peterhead have found the net in only two of their previous five matches at home and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Cove Rangers rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Peterhead rate stronger on defence, while form is closely matched. Cove Rangers won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 22 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Peterhead's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Cove Rangers losing run
0
Cove Rangers points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.1% → 39.2%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.3%
+0.5 pts
Cove Rangers win
Latest market chance 33.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.1% → 33.5%
−0.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterhead
Draw
Cove Rangers
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Peterhead
Cove Rangers
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
10
0.70
Points/Game
0.60
0.70
Goals/Game
0.90
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.60
7.9
Shots/Game
8.9
3.0
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Peterhead at home (7 matches) vs Cove Rangers away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.43
1.00
Goals/Game
0.71
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.00
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterhead
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Cove Rangers
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterhead Wins
2
Draws
0
Cove Rangers Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-08-222026-2027
Cove Rangers3 – 0Peterhead
2026-03-072025-2026
Cove Rangers2 – 1Peterhead
2025-12-272025-2026
Peterhead0 – 4Cove Rangers
2025-11-012025-2026
Cove Rangers1 – 2Peterhead
2025-08-232025-2026
Peterhead3 – 1Cove Rangers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterhead
vs
Cove Rangers
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 54.9%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 59.0%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…