Peterhead vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Balmoor
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.14
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Peterhead
Alloa
S. Ross (B. Mcluckie) ⚽
13'
D. Forrest 🟨
56'
None 🟨
58'
J. Kerr 🟨
63'
M. Megginson 🟨
64'
75'
⚽ O. Foster (G. Marchant)
J. Kerr ⚽
77'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Peterhead edge head-to-head, Alloa edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterhead stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alloa have secured two victories and a draw in their last five away fixtures, while Peterhead have managed just two wins from three defeats at home over the same span. Peterhead have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Alloa rate stronger on form and attack, while Peterhead rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Peterhead's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points, while Alloa's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Alloa
Alloa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Alloa win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Peterhead remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 42.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
39.5% → 42.4%
+2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 27.1%
+0.1 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.5% → 30.5%
−3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterhead
Draw
Alloa
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterheadAlloa
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
7th
12
Games Played
12
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.17
7.9
Shots/Game
9.4
3.0
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Peterhead at home (7 matches) vs Alloa away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.14
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterhead
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterhead Wins
3
Draws
1
Alloa Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Alloa1 – 1Peterhead
Alloa1 – 2Peterhead
Peterhead3 – 1Alloa
Alloa4 – 0Peterhead
Peterhead2 – 1Alloa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterheadvs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 52.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 57.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?