Montrose vs Ross County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Links Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.91
Draw
4.51
Away Win
1.43
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 5
Match Events ?
Montrose
Ross County
20'
⚽ R. Docherty
25'
⚽ R. Chin
28'
⚽ K. Phillips
G. Oliver (G. Oliver) •
39'
52'
⚽ B. Graham
F. Duffy 🟨
62'
66'
🟨 C. Hamilton
G. Oliver 🟨
66'
75'
⚽ D. Smith (A. Wright)
R. Williamson 🟨
88'
90+1'
🟨 A. Wright
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ross County
Ross County rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Ross County an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ross County have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Montrose sit on three victories but also two defeats in the same span at home. Montrose have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have managed only a single clean sheet during that identical period. Ross County rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Ross County won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 8 August 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Montrose's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Ross County.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montrose win
Latest market chance 14.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.1% → 14.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.3% → 20.2%
−0.1 pts
Ross County win
Latest market chance 65.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.5% → 65.7%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Montrose
Draw
Ross County
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontroseRoss County
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
8
1.67
Points/Game
2.75
1.44
Goals/Game
3.25
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.62
7.2
Shots/Game
13.7
3.6
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Montrose at home (7 matches) vs Ross County away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.71
1.57
Goals/Game
3.14
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.71
57%
Win Rate
86%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montrose
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ross County
Away form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montrose Wins
0
Draws
0
Ross County Wins
5
Avg Goals
4.8
Ross County2 – 1Montrose
Montrose2 – 3Ross County
Ross County3 – 0Montrose
Montrose3 – 6Ross County
Ross County3 – 1Montrose
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montrosevs
Ross County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
3.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 62.4%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 55.0%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Montrose's 10 matches and 1 of Ross County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?