Montrose vs Peterhead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Links Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.94
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.28
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Montrose
Peterhead
J. Sutherland ⚽
3'
A. Graham ⚽ (OG)
9'
43'
🟨 None
K. Freeman 🟨
50'
J. Barjonas 🟨
69'
82'
🟨 S. Ross
84'
🟨 J. Brown
B. Lyons (G. Webster) ⚽
85'
90'
🟨 A. McCarthy
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Montrose edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Peterhead edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Peterhead slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Montrose have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Peterhead have managed just a single win and a draw across their recent away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Montrose rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Peterhead hold a slight advantage in defence. Montrose won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 5 September 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Peterhead's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Montrose's implied win probability has risen by 3.7 percentage points, while Peterhead's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Montrose
Montrose's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Montrose win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montrose win
Latest market chance 45.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.8% → 45.5%
+3.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.7% → 25.7%
−1.0 pts
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 28.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.5% → 28.8%
−2.7 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontrosePeterhead
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
11
Games Played
11
1.45
Points/Game
0.91
1.27
Goals/Game
0.82
1.82
Conceded/Game
1.55
7.2
Shots/Game
7.9
3.6
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Montrose at home (7 matches) vs Peterhead away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.57
1.57
Goals/Game
0.71
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.29
57%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montrose
Home form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Peterhead
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montrose Wins
2
Draws
3
Peterhead Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Peterhead0 – 3Montrose
Peterhead1 – 1Montrose
Montrose1 – 1Peterhead
Peterhead1 – 1Montrose
Montrose2 – 1Peterhead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montrosevs
Peterhead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 53.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?