Montrose vs East Fife Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Links Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.47
Away Win
2.94
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Montrose
East Fife
4'
⚽ A. Munro (C. Ross)
B. Lyons 🟨
25'
S. Byrne 🟨
27'
B. Lyons (G. Webster) ⚽
31'
73'
🟨 R. Peggie
B. Lyons 🟨
83'
B. Lyons 🟥
83'
86'
⚽ C. Ross
90+3'
🟨 C. Ross
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Montrose
Montrose rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Montrose an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montrose slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
East Fife have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Montrose boast a more positive record with four wins from their home fixtures over the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical recent run. Montrose rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Montrose won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 September 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to East Fife's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 1-day comparison window, Montrose's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while East Fife's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Montrose.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Montrose unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
East Fife points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from East Fife
East Fife's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a East Fife win as less likely than it did 1 day ago. Montrose remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montrose win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
41.6% → 43.7%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.3%
+0.1 pts
East Fife win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.2% → 29.0%
−2.2 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontroseEast Fife
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
9th
13
Games Played
13
1.54
Points/Game
0.92
1.38
Goals/Game
0.85
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.23
7.2
Shots/Game
7.5
3.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Montrose at home (7 matches) vs East Fife away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
0.86
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
57%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montrose
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
East Fife
Away form
L
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montrose Wins
4
Draws
1
East Fife Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
East Fife1 – 2Montrose
Montrose1 – 0East Fife
East Fife2 – 3Montrose
Montrose2 – 1East Fife
East Fife1 – 1Montrose
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montrosevs
East Fife
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.0%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?